TD Economics Report Feb 8, 2017

TD Economics brought to you by Dina Ignjatovic, Economist

 

Data Release: Housing starts kick off the year on strong footing

 

  • Canadian housing starts kicked off the year on a strong note, with homebuilders breaking ground on 207k units (annualized) in January.  This extends December's sharp gain, and pushes the 6-month moving average up just shy of the 200k unit mark.

 

  • The strength in January stemmed from the multi-family sector, which was up 4.2% following a 14% gain in December.  Meanwhile, single family construction was down 4.6% on the month, reversing some of December's gains.

 

  • Regionally, Ontario remained the key driver of growth, with starts up by a whopping 25% in January.  Homebuilding in the Atlantic Provinces was also up during the month while the remaining regions recorded declines.  B.C. experienced the largest pullback, as home starts slid 33% from the month prior.

 

Key Implications

 

  • Overall, housing starts have been hovering around the 200k mark annualized (on a trend basis) for the last six quarters, or just slightly above the current rate of household formation.  However, homebuilding construction should begin to slow over the course of the year, consistent with a cooling in overall housing market activity.

 

  • Still, the recent strength in multi-unit projects could have further room to run given the surge in building permit approvals seen over the second half of last year. This could be partly offset by single-family construction, which is already at relatively lofty levels.

 

  • The regional story will continue to reverberate across the housing markets, with central Canada leading the way, while B.C. and the oil-rich provinces lagging behind.

 

 

The 90-day downpayment boost for first-time homebuyers.
 March 1 2016     Posted by Jennifer Gaudet


The 90-day downpayment boost for first-time homebuyers.

If you’re buying your first home now and it’ll be at least 90 days before your move, let’s talk.The Federal Home Buyers’ Program (HBP) and a tax refund can boost the funds you have available for your purchase. First, make as big an RRSP contribution as you can – up to your contribution limit or $25,000 per person. You can even use your downpayment savings for this.  Big RRSP contribution means a great 2015 refund. Then, after 90 days, you can go back into your RRSP and redeem your contribution under the HBP program. So you’ve got your original downpayment funds back PLUS a nice fat tax refund. You’ll need to pay the withdrawn funds back on a repayment plan, but this strategy can make a substantial difference in the affordability of home ownership!

 

Canforce Mortgage Inc. Greenwood, NS 

Jennifer Gaudet, Owner/ Broker 

Military Mortgage Broker 


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