TD Economics Report Feb 8, 2017

TD Economics brought to you by Dina Ignjatovic, Economist

 

Data Release: Housing starts kick off the year on strong footing

 

  • Canadian housing starts kicked off the year on a strong note, with homebuilders breaking ground on 207k units (annualized) in January.  This extends December's sharp gain, and pushes the 6-month moving average up just shy of the 200k unit mark.

 

  • The strength in January stemmed from the multi-family sector, which was up 4.2% following a 14% gain in December.  Meanwhile, single family construction was down 4.6% on the month, reversing some of December's gains.

 

  • Regionally, Ontario remained the key driver of growth, with starts up by a whopping 25% in January.  Homebuilding in the Atlantic Provinces was also up during the month while the remaining regions recorded declines.  B.C. experienced the largest pullback, as home starts slid 33% from the month prior.

 

Key Implications

 

  • Overall, housing starts have been hovering around the 200k mark annualized (on a trend basis) for the last six quarters, or just slightly above the current rate of household formation.  However, homebuilding construction should begin to slow over the course of the year, consistent with a cooling in overall housing market activity.

 

  • Still, the recent strength in multi-unit projects could have further room to run given the surge in building permit approvals seen over the second half of last year. This could be partly offset by single-family construction, which is already at relatively lofty levels.

 

  • The regional story will continue to reverberate across the housing markets, with central Canada leading the way, while B.C. and the oil-rich provinces lagging behind.

 

 

The ins and outs of pre-approvals
 March 1 2016     Posted by Jennifer Gaudet


The ins and outs of pre-approvals

When you’re house hunting, it’s a great idea to know the amount of mortgage you qualify for, your monthly payments, and that your interest rate will be held for a specified period of time i.e. 120 days. This way you can shop within your price range, you don't have to worry about rates rising, and both realtors and sellers will know you're serious. Be realistic though and make sure you can afford that pre-approved amount; review all of your homeownership expenses and your monthly budget. 

 

Keep in mind that not all pre-approvals are the same, and that a preapproval is not a mortgage approval. Some are just a simple rate guarantee subject to lots of conditions and a later approval.  For a full pre-approval you need to submit your application and documentation so the lender can qualify you, and even then it’s a good idea to have a financing condition in your purchase offer because your property will need to be assessed by your lender. Be sure to not make significant changes after getting the preapproval i.e. changing jobs, adding debt or missing payments, co-signing another loan, or using your down payment money. 

 

Contact us today and get off on the right foot in your homebuying journey!


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